Can Block Reward Halving Save Bitcoin From Another Bear Market?

Story by: Martin Young

The pressure appears to be mounting again for Bitcoin. A couple of months ago they were saying ‘you’ll never get another opportunity to buy four figure BTC’, and today it is looking like dumping back to $6,000. All hopes are now pinned on the halving seven months away, but can it really prevent another bear market?

Bitcoin Breaks Lower Again

In the short term, BTC is looking bearish. Failure again to break resistance above $8,400 has resulted in another fall as BTC plunged to $8,100 a few hours ago. According to Tradingview.com it recovered slightly to trade at $8,150, just below previous support levels.

The patterns emerging on the hourly and daily charts are all bearish in the short term. A death cross is imminent on the daily chart with the 50 day MA poised to drop below the 200 day. The last time this happened was in March 2018 which led to a year-long bear market.

As reported earlier by NewsBTC a four month descending triangle has broken down into a bear flag which is all singing the same tune. A return to $6,000 is looking more likely than a rally back to five figures at the moment.

Halving To The Rescue?

The next major bullish event for Bitcoin is the block halving in May 2020. Historically there have been significant rallies leading up to these events. This was certainly the case for little brother Litecoin this year which surged 380% in six months.

Trader and analyst ‘CryptoWelson’ has been pondering the semantics of the halving and how it will affect miners’ rewards.

“1,800 #Bitcoin are mined per day. This equals a value of $15M sold to the market daily. In May 2020, the block reward cuts in half to 6.25 $BTC which results in $7.5M less needed to absorb miners’ BTC.”